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: âš
 "ڦǢ¢ âšԨ "

"â ؾ 񽣨 ¡Ȣš?"

Ƣ 





Dolphin at sea'¡𧼡 ' 즸 ǡ ĸ 츢. Ģ ġ Ţ ú¨ ǡ Ӹ¦Ȣ Ĩ Ǿ â. ¢, Ǣ, ġ , â [mathematical models] Ǣ¡ ġ ɢɢǡ Ģ ǡ š츢, , ¢ ¢ è ʨ§ Ţ ġ θǢ֧ â ¢ 츢.

󾿢¢ 'ݧ' [greenhouse warming] ξĢ ţ /, Ţ/Ц츢// áŢ á ǡ (ź) Ģ즸츢ȡ. Ũ¢ Ѩȡ, Ĩ 즸 -- ŢǨ 즸츢 ġ. ú째, Ǣ ŢҦҸ째 ׸ Ө Ţ ȢŢơ򾢧 ġ . ɡ, ¡ ¢ ׸ Ȣ ɦ ŢǢħ âЦθ ھġ Ţ.

Ţ, ݧ, Ŀ ¢ 츢 ȡ, Ÿ̨, ' ' ¢ Ŧ ׸ ɨ. Ţ, , ̨ -󧿡̸Ǣ θ. ׸ Ө ׸ , ̾¡Ȣ , Ţ Ҩ¾ ׸ ܼ򾢧 Ţ Ũ ¨ ׸ . ¡ Ţ Ȣ ׸ Ө ɨ¡ ɡ Ţ. ħǢ Ŧġ ȢŢҾ ġ Ţ. ý, ¢ 츢 Ţ Ģ, 츢 ɡ , Ģ ¢ ΨŢ '' ¢ ȡ Ţ Ũ () ȡš? Ч ݧ ׸ ţ .

Ţݧ ɢ Ţâ Ţ ȡ, Ө . ɢθǢ Ţš, 'š' [Greenhouse gases] âš [ɣá쨺], ¢š [], S Ȩ Ǣ򾢧 Ţ Ȣ즸. š츧ǡ 򾢨 񽢧 츨즸 Ԩ [Property*]. 򾢨 , Ģ ʸ 򾢨 츢즸 ¢ɦ¡. ɡħ š θ.

ǧš Ǣ츼 Ũ š Ţ¢ ¢â Ȣ¨¡. Ǣ򾢧 즸 áŢ, Ǣâ šŦ ɢ/ ھ ħ. Ţ Ȩܼ Ǣ𨼧즸 š . ɡ, Ǣ 򾢧 Ȣ ȢŢ 򦾡ȡ ƢԼ ׼ɡ (level) â즸 . âš ţ ¢š ̸ǡ S ţ ռǢ ЧŢ. ɡ 󾸾ţǢ 츧 .

ǢŢ׸ǡ, Ȣ θǢ â áâ Ǣ Ħ 1.4 è 츢 Ȣ즸츢 (upward trend) . ¡ 񼸡׸, ׸ -ĺ¡ 측 𺢺, - ž. ġ, ɢŢ âšԨ Ƣ츢.ɡ âšš ݧȢŧ, ɢǢ ȡ ɡ ɡ ¡. ȡ, Ţ¢ ĸ . -ɢ Ţš âš츨 š Ƣ ﺢ즸ž, á 츢. ɡ, ɢǢ âǢ θ ¢ ȢЦ츢. Ţš Ũ򦾡̾¡ Ţâ ׸.

, š š Ţ fɢ ̾ áθ. šġ Ţ 쨸 ظ Ŧ á. ɧ Ч, ׸Ǣ ̸ ̸ ȡɨ. ɡ, ɢ¡ Ψ¢ ¨. , Ţ Ũ ŢƸ. ¢ '' Ũħʧ Ȣ𼧾 Ţ򾢨 Ţ¾.'Ģ Ч' ĸ 'ɢ á' ȧ츢ġ 'ɢ â¡ЧŢ' 츢ġ 츢ȡ; ոȡ. 򦾡â ȢŢ 򾨸 , ¢ Ģ - / [Nansen Environmental & Remote Sensing Centre] Ţﻡɢ ȡ. Φ âšԨ Ģ θ Ģ ¢츢ȡ. âšԨ â즸, Ǣ ƢŨ ġ 򧾡 ǡ Ţȡ.

ɧ 측Ч, âšԨ Ⱦħ ɸ ¢ Ţ¢츢. ɡ, в âšԨ, Ũ 즸񼾢Ţ ľ 즸 Ţ 즸 Ţɡ ĢŢ Ţ 򾢧 즸 ¢츢ȡ.Ģ âšŢ ơ Ч 񧼡 𧼡Ȣ â 츢ȧ, âš Ģ þ Ƣ Ţ Ǣ 츢 Ţ Ч ŢξԽš š šŢ Ţɡǡ 즸츢.

ɡ, š 򾢧 , Ǣ âš ڸ Ǣ¢ ּ ž򾢧 츢. âšŢ þ ġ ШȨ Ũ¢ âšԨ Ǣ򾢨 á, ¡ ¾ 츢. Ũ¢ š ¢ ġ żĢ , ǢŢ âšŢ 츨 ̨ 򾢧ħ [ 780 ] ¦ 츢ȡ. 츨 âš 90 Ӿ 120 ب¢ħ Ģ , ʧ [sink], ƢƢ¡ɡ ġ Ƣ쨸¢ 츢ȡ.

, š, 츼Ǣ âšŢ ȨԨ Ǣ¢츢ȡ. ܼ, Ģ 򧾡 âšŢ â ȡ. 330 585 šŢ Ǣ Ǣ Ũ¢, 930 򾢧 šŢ 0.5% Χ θǢ ܼ Ǣ 𼾡 ڸȡ.

ɡ, Ţ׸ ġ ׸񧼡? 측 Ǻã ¡ . ø âšŢ -Ũÿ ȡ ž¢ ž- ¢â Ӹ 츧 , Ȣ šŢ Ţ׸ 򾢧Ħ . Ծ, Ţ ?šŢ Ģ 40~60 âšԨ 780 򾢧 츨 츢. 측 , "ڦǢ¢ âšԨ " ȡǡ, "â ؾ 񽣨 ¡Ȣš?"  ȡǡ ŧ -, - ܼ ս¡ ھ 򧾡ڸ.


þ¢ ''Ψ :
http://www.thinnai.com/sc0618011.html

ľŢ:
http://www.salon.com/tech/wire/2001/06/19/co2/index.html
http://www.epa.gov/globalwarming/

Ӹ|Ţ| 츢  
â :  .,â 2000